Toronto Marlies at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Toronto Marlies

6:2

Final

Laval Rocket

The sheet

TORLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

80%20%

xG: 4.12.5
High danger: 123
Chances: 188
Shots: 3231

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal31

18Scoring chances8

12High-danger chances3

4.11Expected goals2.50

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–15	4–5	2–2	0.8–1.3
2nd	13–7	6–2	4–1	1.4–0.6
3rd	11–9	8–1	6–0	1.9–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LAV	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Kaapo Kähkönen

Shots faced: 32
Saves: 26
Allowed: 6
xGA: 4.11
GSAx: -1.89

Artur Akhtyamov

Shots faced: 31
Saves: 29
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.50
GSAx: +0.50

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 5:42Penalty
1st 5:42Penalty
1st 6:37Penalty
1st 10:58Laurent Dauphin (0–1)medium · wrist · 14 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
1st 11:44Penalty
1st 12:22Joshua Roy (0–2)5v4 · high · wrist · 11 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
1st 12:39Penalty
1st 13:08Logan Shaw (1–2)5v4 · high · wrist · 7 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
1st 19:41Penalty
1st 19:41Penalty
1st 19:56Penalty
2nd 2:51Penalty
2nd 2:59Penalty
2nd 5:35Vinni Lettieri (2–2)5v4 · low · slap · 47 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
2nd 8:02Penalty
2nd 8:53Penalty
2nd 10:52Penalty
2nd 16:37Penalty
2nd 18:09Luke Haymes (3–2)5v4 · high · wrist · 26 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
3rd 1:00Easton Cowan (4–2)high · backhand · 14 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
3rd 13:55Penalty
3rd 13:55Penalty
3rd 15:04Penalty
3rd 16:01Cédric Paré (5–2)empty net · low · wrist · 66 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
3rd 16:52Penalty
3rd 16:52Penalty
3rd 16:52Penalty
3rd 16:52Penalty
3rd 16:52Penalty
3rd 16:52Penalty
3rd 17:28Penalty
3rd 18:18Noah Chadwick (6–2)5v4 · low · 27 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen