AHLDashboard
Saturday, May 2

Texas Stars at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Texas Stars
1:2
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

TEXCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
39%61%
xG
2.02.5
High danger
33
Chances
710
Shots
2828

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal28
7Scoring chances10
3High-danger chances3
1.99Expected goals2.54

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st81436210.71.4
2nd101024120.71.0
3rd10420000.60.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
28
Saves
27
Allowed
1
xGA
1.99
GSAx
+0.99
Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
2.54
GSAx
+0.54

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:08Noah Philp (0–1)low · 33 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 6:16Penalty
  • 1st 10:20Penalty
  • 1st 16:13Penalty
  • 2nd 4:43Penalty
  • 2nd 4:43Penalty
  • 2nd 11:31Penalty
  • 2nd 11:31Penalty
  • 2nd 11:31Penalty
  • 2nd 12:24Penalty
  • 2nd 19:34Ryan Suzuki (0–2)low · 25 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 1:38Jack Becker (1–2)medium · 8 ft · beat Cayden Primeau