Grand Rapids Griffins at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Grand Rapids Griffins

2:0

Final

Manitoba Moose

The sheet

GRMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

64%36%

xG: 2.42.1
High danger: 32
Chances: 76
Shots: 3430

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

MB above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 43% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal30

7Scoring chances6

3High-danger chances2

2.37Expected goals2.13

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	12–14	3–2	1–1	0.9–0.9
2nd	11–8	2–3	1–0	0.7–0.6
3rd	11–8	2–1	1–1	0.7–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
MB	2	14:48 of the 3rd	5:12	5:12	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Domenic DiVincentiis

Shots faced: 34
Saves: 32
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.37
GSAx: +0.37

Michal Postava

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 30
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.13
GSAx: +2.13

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:10Penalty
1st 6:07Penalty
1st 15:14Penalty
1st 17:04Michael Brandsegg-Nygård (1–0)5v4 · medium · 16 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
1st 20:00Penalty
2nd 1:14Penalty
3rd 14:48William Wallinder (2–0)low · 39 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
3rd 19:54Penalty
3rd 19:54Penalty
3rd 19:54Penalty
3rd 19:54Penalty