AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, May 3

Texas Stars at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Texas Stars
5:4
Final / OT
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

TEXCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
71%29%
xG
4.22.5
High danger
74
Chances
1410
Shots
3723

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal23
14Scoring chances10
7High-danger chances4
4.16Expected goals2.47

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–52–21–00.6–0.5
2nd11–82–51–20.8–1.0
3rd13–98–35–22.2–1.0
OT7–12–00–00.5–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX116:56 of the 3rd3:042:53+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cayden Primeau
Shots faced
37
Saves
32
Allowed
5
xGA
4.15
GSAx
-0.85
Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
23
Saves
19
Allowed
4
xGA
2.47
GSAx
-1.53

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:27Antonio Stranges (1–0)medium · 19 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 1st 8:40Penalty
  • 1st 8:49Bradly Nadeau (1–1)5v4 · medium · 30 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 10:09Penalty
  • 1st 10:09Penalty
  • 1st 10:46Cameron Hughes (2–1)high · 13 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 1st 13:42Evan Vierling (2–2)medium · 8 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 3:10Penalty
  • 2nd 5:00Penalty
  • 2nd 9:06Penalty
  • 2nd 12:43Penalty
  • 2nd 15:15Penalty
  • 2nd 19:33Ivan Ryabkin (2–3)medium · 16 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 2:19Noah Philp (2–4)low · 31 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 6:47Penalty
  • 3rd 12:06Vladislav Kolyachonok (3–4)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 16:35Penalty
  • 3rd 19:49Kole Lind (4–4)grade A · 45 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • OT 5:48Penalty
  • OT 8:40Artem Shlaine (5–4)5v4 · medium · 11 ft · beat Cayden Primeau