Laval Rocket at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Laval Rocket

4:0

Final

Toronto Marlies

The sheet

LAVTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

73%27%

xG: 2.71.6
High danger: 32
Chances: 126
Shots: 3218

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

TOR above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal18

12Scoring chances6

3High-danger chances2

2.68Expected goals1.61

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	14–6	3–3	1–1	1.0–0.5
2nd	11–3	3–1	0–0	0.7–0.3
3rd	7–9	6–2	2–1	1.0–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
TOR	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artur Akhtyamov

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 22
Allowed: 3
xGA: 1.71
GSAx: -1.29

Kaapo Kähkönen

Shots faced: 18
Saves: 18
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.61
GSAx: +1.61

Dennis Hildeby

Shots faced: 7
Saves: 6
Allowed: 1
xGA: 0.97
GSAx: -0.03

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:46Alex Belzile (1–0)medium · 22 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
1st 3:27Penalty
1st 6:33Penalty
2nd 1:57Penalty
2nd 6:32Samuel Blais (2–0)low · 42 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
2nd 12:56Penalty
2nd 12:56Penalty
2nd 14:16Samuel Blais (3–0)medium · 32 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
2nd 17:32Penalty
3rd 0:42Penalty
3rd 2:36Laurent Dauphin (4–0)4v5 · high · 10 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
3rd 11:18Penalty
3rd 11:18Penalty
3rd 12:08Penalty
3rd 18:18Penalty
3rd 18:18Penalty
3rd 18:18Penalty
3rd 18:18Penalty
3rd 18:18Penalty
3rd 18:42Penalty
3rd 18:42Penalty
3rd 18:42Penalty
3rd 18:42Penalty
3rd 18:42Penalty
3rd 18:42Penalty
3rd 18:42Penalty