AHLDashboard
Tuesday, May 5

Providence Bruins at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Providence Bruins
2:3
Final / OT
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

PROSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
65%35%
xG
3.53.1
High danger
64
Chances
1310
Shots
3534

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 42% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal34
13Scoring chances10
6High-danger chances4
3.52Expected goals3.07

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st17973322.01.1
2nd81125120.51.1
3rd81242200.90.8
OT2200000.10.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
35
Saves
33
Allowed
2
xGA
3.52
GSAx
+1.52
Shots faced
34
Saves
31
Allowed
3
xGA
3.07
GSAx
+0.07

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:14Penalty
  • 1st 9:14Penalty
  • 1st 11:23Penalty
  • 1st 16:43Calle Rosén (0–1)grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 1st 17:27Matthew Poitras (1–1)low · 15 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 1st 19:16Penalty
  • 1st 19:55Riley Tufte (2–1)5v4 · high · 38 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 4:13Calle Rosén (2–2)low · 59 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 2nd 6:58Penalty
  • 2nd 17:30Penalty
  • 3rd 1:17Penalty
  • 3rd 14:36Penalty
  • OT 3:45Zach Dean (2–3)low · 15 ft · beat Michael DiPietro