Texas Stars at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Texas Stars

1:6

Final

Chicago Wolves

The sheet

TEXCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

26%74%

xG: 1.92.7
High danger: 25
Chances: 69
Shots: 2632

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CHI above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal32

6Scoring chances9

2High-danger chances5

1.93Expected goals2.71

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–11	2–2	1–1	0.6–0.8
2nd	10–9	3–3	1–2	0.9–0.8
3rd	9–12	1–4	0–2	0.5–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
TEX	3	2:10 of the 3rd	17:50	17:50	+0.023 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Rémi Poirier

Shots faced: 32
Saves: 26
Allowed: 6
xGA: 2.71
GSAx: -3.29

Cayden Primeau

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 25
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.93
GSAx: +0.93

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:26Ryan Suzuki (0–1)low · 26 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
1st 0:57Josiah Slavin (0–2)low · 44 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
1st 16:21Penalty
2nd 1:44Penalty
2nd 1:44Penalty
2nd 5:52Kole Lind (1–2)low · 24 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
2nd 12:26Penalty
2nd 17:58Viktor Neuchev (1–3)high · 13 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
3rd 1:25Penalty
3rd 2:10Ryan Suzuki (1–4)5v4 · medium · 31 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
3rd 8:07Penalty
3rd 12:57Ryan Suzuki (1–5)empty net · low · 80 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
3rd 19:37Aleksi Heimosalmi (1–6)empty net · low · 181 ft · beat Rémi Poirier