AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, May 6

Henderson Silver Knights at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Henderson Silver Knights
0:4
Final
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

HSKCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
52%48%
xG
1.41.7
High danger
21
Chances
44
Shots
2027

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 59% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal27
4Scoring chances4
2High-danger chances1
1.42Expected goals1.75

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–132–31–00.6–0.8
2nd3–111–10–10.2–0.8
3rd9–31–01–00.6–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Carl Lindbom
Shots faced
27
Saves
23
Allowed
4
xGA
1.75
GSAx
-2.25
Trent Miner
Shots faced
20
Saves
20
Allowed
0
xGA
1.42
GSAx
+1.42

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:22Penalty
  • 1st 15:21Penalty
  • 2nd 1:02Penalty
  • 2nd 3:21Alex Gagne (0–1)low · 67 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 2nd 4:54Tye Felhaber (0–2)low · 32 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 2nd 10:10Penalty
  • 2nd 13:46Tristen Nielsen (0–3)low · 19 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 3rd 7:50Penalty
  • 3rd 7:50Penalty
  • 3rd 19:44Tristen Nielsen (0–4)empty net · low · 66 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 3rd 19:52Penalty
  • 3rd 19:52Penalty