AHLDashboard
Thursday, May 7

Providence Bruins at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Providence Bruins
0:1
Final / OT
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

PROSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
75%25%
xG
2.41.9
High danger
31
Chances
85
Shots
3728

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 42% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal28
8Scoring chances5
3High-danger chances1
2.38Expected goals1.93

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12831000.80.6
2nd12550301.10.3
3rd111204010.30.9
OT2300000.10.2

Away–home, in that order.

In goal

Shots faced
37
Saves
37
Allowed
0
xGA
2.38
GSAx
+2.38
Shots faced
28
Saves
27
Allowed
1
xGA
1.93
GSAx
+0.93

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:37Penalty
  • 1st 13:20Penalty
  • 1st 13:42Penalty
  • 1st 19:20Penalty
  • 2nd 17:54Penalty
  • 3rd 0:38Penalty
  • OT 4:01Dillon Dube (0–1)low · 14 ft · beat Michael DiPietro