AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, May 14

Toronto Marlies at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Toronto Marlies
5:2
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

TORCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
17%83%
xG
1.73.5
High danger
310
Chances
713
Shots
1634

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 58% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

16Shots on goal34
7Scoring chances13
3High-danger chances10
1.66Expected goals3.53

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–124–53–50.8–1.4
2nd6–112–40–30.5–1.1
3rd5–111–40–20.3–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE212:32 of the 3rd7:287:28+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artur Akhtyamov
Shots faced
34
Saves
32
Allowed
2
xGA
3.53
GSAx
+1.53
Zach Sawchenko
Shots faced
16
Saves
11
Allowed
5
xGA
1.66
GSAx
-3.34

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:06Penalty
  • 1st 4:56Hudson Fasching (0–1)5v4 · high · snap · rebound · 9 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 5:31Penalty
  • 1st 5:31Penalty
  • 1st 9:11Penalty
  • 1st 9:11Penalty
  • 1st 9:11Penalty
  • 1st 14:51Penalty
  • 1st 18:52Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 2:46Penalty
  • 2nd 7:37Hunter McKown (0–2)medium · snap · 30 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 8:17Penalty
  • 2nd 8:17Penalty
  • 2nd 8:17Penalty
  • 2nd 14:22Penalty
  • 2nd 17:46Penalty
  • 2nd 17:52Easton Cowan (1–2)5v4 · medium · snap · 13 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 19:53Marshall Rifai (2–2)low · snap · 31 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 2:15Alex Nylander (3–2)low · slap · 60 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 12:32Ryan Tverberg (4–2)medium · snap · 9 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 16:15Benoit-Olivier Groulx (5–2)empty net · low · snap · 183 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko