Cleveland Monsters at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Cleveland Monsters

4:0

Final

Toronto Marlies

The sheet

CLETORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

83%17%

xG: 2.81.5
High danger: 51
Chances: 116
Shots: 3016

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

TOR above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal16

11Scoring chances6

5High-danger chances1

2.78Expected goals1.47

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	15–6	8–4	4–0	1.7–0.6
2nd	7–4	1–2	0–1	0.4–0.5
3rd	8–6	2–0	1–0	0.7–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
TOR	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artur Akhtyamov

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 26
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.78
GSAx: -1.22

Zach Sawchenko

Shots faced: 16
Saves: 16
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.47
GSAx: +1.47

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:57Owen Sillinger (1–0)high · 17 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
1st 15:50Penalty
1st 17:20Hudson Fasching (2–0)5v4 · high · 25 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
1st 18:34Penalty
2nd 8:31Penalty
2nd 12:37Penalty
2nd 19:05Penalty
2nd 19:05Penalty
3rd 0:22Penalty
3rd 8:13Penalty
3rd 16:50Justin Pearson (3–0)empty net · low · 30 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
3rd 18:18Mikael Pyyhtiä (4–0)empty net · low · 156 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov