Cleveland Monsters at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Cleveland Monsters

1:0

Final

Utica Comets

The sheet

CLEUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

59%41%

xG: 2.31.5
High danger: 22
Chances: 45
Shots: 2721

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

UTC above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal21

4Scoring chances5

2High-danger chances2

2.28Expected goals1.51

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–7	0–5	0–2	0.6–0.9
2nd	9–5	2–0	0–0	0.8–0.3
3rd	10–9	2–0	2–0	1.0–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
UTC	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nico Daws

Shots faced: 27
Saves: 26
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.28
GSAx: +1.28

Ivan Fedotov

Shots faced: 21
Saves: 21
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.51
GSAx: +1.51

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:38Penalty
1st 12:00Penalty
1st 14:40Penalty
2nd 5:10Penalty
2nd 13:35James Malatesta (1–0)low · 11 ft · beat Nico Daws
2nd 18:42Penalty
3rd 1:25Penalty
3rd 1:25Penalty
3rd 2:26Penalty
3rd 19:59Penalty
3rd 19:59Penalty