AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, October 10

Calgary Wranglers at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Calgary Wranglers
4:7
Final
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

CGYCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
10%90%
xG
1.55.2
High danger
311
Chances
621
Shots
1743

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

024P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 76% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

17Shots on goal43
6Scoring chances21
3High-danger chances11
1.46Expected goals5.17

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–231–120–50.3–2.8
2nd7–113–32–20.6–0.9
3rd6–92–61–40.6–1.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY30:00 of the 3rd20:0010:55+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ivan Prosvetov
Shots faced
43
Saves
36
Allowed
7
xGA
5.17
GSAx
-1.83
Isak Posch
Shots faced
17
Saves
13
Allowed
4
xGA
1.46
GSAx
-2.54

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:23Penalty
  • 1st 3:21Jack Ahcan (0–1)5v4 · medium · 25 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 1st 5:54Penalty
  • 1st 6:32Tristen Nielsen (0–2)5v4 · high · 13 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 1st 8:17Penalty
  • 1st 13:13Chase Bradley (0–3)medium · 14 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 1st 16:32Penalty
  • 1st 17:44Martin Frk (1–3)5v4 · medium · 29 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 1st 18:06Penalty
  • 1st 18:06Penalty
  • 2nd 3:01Chase Bradley (1–4)high · 19 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 2nd 4:46Dryden Hunt (2–4)medium · 16 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 2nd 7:38Penalty
  • 2nd 9:06Danil Gushchin (2–5)5v4 · low · 50 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 2nd 14:17Penalty
  • 2nd 17:10Danil Gushchin (2–6)medium · 17 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 2nd 17:27Dryden Hunt (3–6)high · 15 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 3rd 3:04Yan Kuznetsov (4–6)low · 35 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 3rd 10:50Penalty
  • 3rd 17:22Penalty
  • 3rd 17:22Penalty
  • 3rd 17:22Penalty
  • 3rd 17:22Penalty
  • 3rd 17:22Penalty
  • 3rd 17:22Penalty
  • 3rd 17:22Penalty
  • 3rd 19:08Wyatt Aamodt (4–7)empty net · low · 184 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 3rd 19:51Penalty
  • 3rd 19:51Penalty