AHLDashboard
Sunday, October 12

Syracuse Crunch at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Syracuse Crunch
3:2
Final / OT
Hershey Bears

The sheet

SYRHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
22%78%
xG
2.03.2
High danger
16
Chances
815
Shots
2628

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal28
8Scoring chances15
1High-danger chances6
2.04Expected goals3.22

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9935020.71.2
2nd81328130.61.6
3rd8632010.60.5
OT1000000.10.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
3.22
GSAx
+1.22
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
2.04
GSAx
-0.96

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:19Penalty
  • 1st 5:00Penalty
  • 1st 10:03Penalty
  • 1st 13:42Penalty
  • 1st 13:42Penalty
  • 1st 16:31Penalty
  • 2nd 2:20Penalty
  • 2nd 3:23Bogdan Trineyev (0–1)4v5 · high · 7 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
  • 2nd 4:38Graeme Clarke (0–2)high · 16 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
  • 2nd 4:52Penalty
  • 2nd 4:52Penalty
  • 2nd 12:32Penalty
  • 2nd 14:52Scott Sabourin (1–2)high · 16 ft · beat Garin Bjorklund
  • 3rd 9:45Penalty
  • 3rd 16:46Declan Carlile (2–2)medium · 15 ft · beat Garin Bjorklund
  • OT 1:17Dominic James (3–2)low · 16 ft · beat Garin Bjorklund