AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, October 17

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Hartford Wolf Pack

PeoplesBank Arena · Hartford, CT

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
5:2
Final
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

WBSHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
77%23%
xG
4.62.9
High danger
136
Chances
2112
Shots
3230

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 46% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal30
21Scoring chances12
13High-danger chances6
4.61Expected goals2.91

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–119–55–41.6–1.1
2nd14–108–46–02.0–0.9
3rd7–94–32–20.9–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dylan Garand
Shots faced
32
Saves
27
Allowed
5
xGA
4.61
GSAx
-0.39
Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
2.91
GSAx
+0.91

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:56Penalty
  • 1st 6:57Penalty
  • 1st 12:01Rafaël Harvey-Pinard (1–0)high · 9 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 1st 14:59Atley Calvert (2–0)high · 16 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 1st 17:32Penalty
  • 1st 17:32Penalty
  • 1st 17:32Penalty
  • 2nd 4:28Penalty
  • 2nd 5:57Avery Hayes (3–0)5v4 · medium · 28 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 16:24Gabe Perreault (3–1)medium · 3 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 0:56Penalty
  • 3rd 0:56Penalty
  • 3rd 0:56Penalty
  • 3rd 6:50Adam Sýkora (3–2)high · 11 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 7:05Penalty
  • 3rd 11:53Atley Calvert (4–2)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 15:58Penalty
  • 3rd 17:46Tristan Broz (5–2)empty net · low · 154 ft · beat Dylan Garand