AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 7

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
4:6
Final
Rochester Americans

The sheet

WBSROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
38%62%
xG
2.12.6
High danger
45
Chances
67
Shots
2629

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal29
6Scoring chances7
4High-danger chances5
2.11Expected goals2.62

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–114–43–31.2–1.1
2nd12–81–20–20.7–0.9
3rd3–101–11–00.3–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devon Levi
Shots faced
26
Saves
22
Allowed
4
xGA
2.11
GSAx
-1.89
Maxim Pavlenko
Shots faced
18
Saves
16
Allowed
2
xGA
1.50
GSAx
-0.50
Filip Larsson
Shots faced
11
Saves
7
Allowed
4
xGA
1.12
GSAx
-2.88

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:16Penalty
  • 1st 6:48Penalty
  • 1st 8:09Penalty
  • 1st 12:29Trevor Kuntar (0–1)low · 38 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 1st 13:04Mathieu De St. Phalle (1–1)high · 9 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 1st 14:17Penalty
  • 1st 16:13Jake Leschyshyn (1–2)5v4 · medium · 11 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 1st 17:16Matteo Costantini (1–3)low · 49 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 1st 19:32Trevor Kuntar (1–4)grade A · 4 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 2:40Alex Alexeyev (2–4)low · 56 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 10:52Penalty
  • 2nd 10:52Penalty
  • 2nd 13:26Penalty
  • 2nd 14:29Penalty
  • 2nd 14:29Penalty
  • 2nd 14:47Penalty
  • 2nd 15:29Tristan Broz (3–4)low · 9 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 18:08Penalty
  • 2nd 19:30Penalty
  • 2nd 19:30Penalty
  • 3rd 0:51Penalty
  • 3rd 1:24Penalty
  • 3rd 4:55Penalty
  • 3rd 7:07Sam Poulin (4–4)high · 10 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 11:07Penalty
  • 3rd 11:57Zach Metsa (4–5)5v4 · low · 58 ft · beat Maxim Pavlenko
  • 3rd 12:20Penalty
  • 3rd 12:20Penalty
  • 3rd 12:20Penalty
  • 3rd 12:20Penalty
  • 3rd 17:56Viktor Neuchev (4–6)empty net · low · 85 ft · beat Maxim Pavlenko