AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 14

Bridgeport Islanders at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Bridgeport Islanders
3:5
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

BRIWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
71%29%
xG
3.82.8
High danger
104
Chances
1610
Shots
2626

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal26
16Scoring chances10
10High-danger chances4
3.84Expected goals2.85

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–57–05–01.5–0.4
2nd9–116–53–31.6–1.4
3rd8–103–52–10.7–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Maxim Pavlenko
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
3.84
GSAx
+0.84
Parker Gahagen
Shots faced
26
Saves
21
Allowed
5
xGA
2.85
GSAx
-2.15

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:31Penalty
  • 1st 3:32Penalty
  • 1st 10:13Cam Berg (1–0)grade A · backhand · rebound · 12 ft · beat Maxim Pavlenko
  • 2nd 7:04Penalty
  • 2nd 9:10Penalty
  • 2nd 15:50Penalty
  • 2nd 17:21Alex Jefferies (2–0)5v4 · grade A · tip · rebound · 7 ft · beat Maxim Pavlenko
  • 3rd 0:57Tristan Broz (2–1)grade A · snap · rebound · 11 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 2:36Penalty
  • 3rd 5:28Sebastian Aho (2–2)low · wrist · 49 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 11:12Adam Beckman (3–2)high · wrist · 19 ft · beat Maxim Pavlenko
  • 3rd 13:18Aidan McDonough (3–3)medium · backhand · 13 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 14:13Phil Kemp (3–4)low · wrist · 44 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 18:54Phil Kemp (3–5)empty net · low · 176 ft · beat Parker Gahagen