AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, April 18

Rochester Americans at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Rochester Americans
0:8
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

ROCWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
17%83%
xG
2.44.0
High danger
311
Chances
816
Shots
2729

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal29
8Scoring chances16
3High-danger chances11
2.40Expected goals3.97

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–84–52–41.2–1.4
2nd12–103–51–41.0–1.3
3rd2–111–60–30.2–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ROC−60:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ROC60:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.001 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
27
Saves
27
Allowed
0
xGA
2.40
GSAx
+2.40
Topias Leinonen
Shots faced
15
Saves
11
Allowed
4
xGA
2.02
GSAx
-1.98
Scott Ratzlaff
Shots faced
14
Saves
10
Allowed
4
xGA
1.95
GSAx
-2.05

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:03Rutger McGroarty (0–1)grade A · tip · rebound · 13 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 1st 3:55Penalty
  • 1st 5:39Atley Calvert (0–2)5v4 · high · tip · 12 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 1st 7:19Penalty
  • 1st 11:05Penalty
  • 1st 12:59Penalty
  • 1st 12:59Penalty
  • 1st 19:08Penalty
  • 1st 19:54Penalty
  • 1st 19:54Penalty
  • 1st 19:54Penalty
  • 1st 19:54Penalty
  • 2nd 4:49Rutger McGroarty (0–3)low · snap · 20 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 2nd 9:02Penalty
  • 2nd 9:35Tristan Broz (0–4)5v4 · medium · wrist · 45 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 2nd 10:58Penalty
  • 2nd 10:58Penalty
  • 2nd 14:32Owen Pickering (0–5)4v5 · high · wrist · 18 ft · beat Topias Leinonen
  • 2nd 18:36Rafaël Harvey-Pinard (0–6)grade A · tip · rebound · 14 ft · beat Topias Leinonen
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 3:27Penalty
  • 3rd 5:22Penalty
  • 3rd 6:29Penalty
  • 3rd 6:29Penalty
  • 3rd 7:03Ville Koivunen (0–7)5v4 · high · backhand · 9 ft · beat Topias Leinonen
  • 3rd 10:01Rafaël Harvey-Pinard (0–8)high · tip · 14 ft · beat Topias Leinonen
  • 3rd 17:05Penalty
  • 3rd 17:05Penalty
  • 3rd 17:05Penalty