Laval Rocket at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Laval Rocket

6:2

Final

Manitoba Moose

The sheet

LAVMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

81%19%

xG: 4.62.6
High danger: 83
Chances: 1610
Shots: 3727

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

MB above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal27

16Scoring chances10

8High-danger chances3

4.62Expected goals2.57

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	13–10	4–4	2–0	1.4–0.9
2nd	13–10	7–4	3–1	2.0–1.0
3rd	11–7	5–2	3–2	1.3–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
MB	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	13:56	+0.023 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Dobeš

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 23
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.43
GSAx: +0.43

Thomas Milic

Shots faced: 22
Saves: 20
Allowed: 2
xGA: 3.11
GSAx: +1.11

Oskari Salminen

Shots faced: 15
Saves: 11
Allowed: 4
xGA: 1.51
GSAx: -2.49

Strauss Mann

Shots faced: 2
Saves: 2
Allowed: 0
xGA: 0.14
GSAx: +0.14

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:47Logan Mailloux (1–0)low · 51 ft · beat Oskari Salminen
1st 3:33Tobie Bisson (2–0)grade A · rebound · 22 ft · beat Oskari Salminen
1st 14:18Penalty
1st 15:16Nathan Légaré (3–0)4v5 · low · 60 ft · beat Oskari Salminen
1st 19:34Jeff Malott (3–1)low · 28 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
2nd 2:19Joshua Roy (4–1)medium · 32 ft · beat Oskari Salminen
2nd 4:42Penalty
2nd 6:01Penalty
2nd 7:17Penalty
2nd 8:18Penalty
2nd 19:13Penalty
3rd 1:38Penalty
3rd 2:55Jeff Malott (4–2)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
3rd 3:42Penalty
3rd 7:42Penalty
3rd 8:59Jared Davidson (5–2)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Thomas Milic
3rd 17:20Penalty
3rd 18:48Penalty
3rd 19:10Sean Farrell (6–2)5v4 · high · 29 ft · beat Thomas Milic
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty