AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, November 12

Hartford Wolf Pack at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Hartford Wolf Pack
2:3
Final / OT
Providence Bruins

The sheet

HFDPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
55%45%
xG
3.72.9
High danger
55
Chances
1614
Shots
3731

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
PRO above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal31
16Scoring chances14
5High-danger chances5
3.68Expected goals2.87

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–93–31–10.7–0.6
2nd14–137–41–11.4–1.0
3rd14–86–63–31.5–1.1
OT1–10–10–00.1–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD116:56 of the 3rd3:040:53+0.051 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
37
Saves
35
Allowed
2
xGA
3.68
GSAx
+1.68
Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
2.87
GSAx
-0.13

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:35Penalty
  • 1st 18:52Penalty
  • 2nd 7:13Penalty
  • 2nd 8:17Anthony Richard (0–1)5v4 · high · 24 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 17:02Penalty
  • 3rd 5:10Brandon Scanlin (1–1)low · 44 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 3rd 10:53Penalty
  • 3rd 11:39Marc McLaughlin (1–2)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 17:49Jonny Brodzinski (2–2)high · rebound · 59 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • OT 1:42Jesper Boqvist (2–3)medium · 11 ft · beat Dylan Garand