AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, November 14

Syracuse Crunch at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Syracuse Crunch
5:4
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

SYRBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
62%38%
xG
2.62.9
High danger
74
Chances
1110
Shots
2533

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal33
11Scoring chances10
7High-danger chances4
2.56Expected goals2.90

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–95–33–21.1–0.8
2nd7–132–32–10.8–0.9
3rd8–114–42–10.7–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−3−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI30:00 of the 3rd20:008:46+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
33
Saves
29
Allowed
4
xGA
2.90
GSAx
-1.10
Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
25
Saves
20
Allowed
5
xGA
2.56
GSAx
-2.44

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:07Penalty
  • 1st 11:20Maxim Groshev (1–0)4v5 · medium · 23 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 14:54Penalty
  • 1st 16:58Maxim Groshev (2–0)high · 13 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 19:50Penalty
  • 1st 19:55Gabriel Dumont (3–0)5v4 · high · 14 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 3:38Penalty
  • 2nd 10:41Joe Carroll (4–0)grade A · rebound · 19 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 15:19Jeff Kubiak (4–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 15:46Penalty
  • 3rd 2:01Penalty
  • 3rd 2:23Samuel Asselin (4–2)5v4 · medium · 24 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 4:12Penalty
  • 3rd 6:08Penalty
  • 3rd 6:13Penalty
  • 3rd 15:27Brian Pinho (4–3)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 18:14Maxim Groshev (5–3)empty net · high · 13 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 3rd 18:50Cole Bardreau (5–4)low · 51 ft · beat Brandon Halverson