Chicago Wolves at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Chicago Wolves

2:5

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CHIGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

14%86%

xG: 2.04.0
High danger: 17
Chances: 715
Shots: 2844

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal44

7Scoring chances15

1High-danger chances7

1.99Expected goals4.00

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	6–8	0–2	0–0	0.2–0.5
2nd	11–23	5–7	1–3	1.1–2.1
3rd	11–13	2–6	0–4	0.6–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CHI	2	12:08 of the 3rd	7:52	7:52	+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Adam Scheel

Shots faced: 44
Saves: 39
Allowed: 5
xGA: 4.00
GSAx: -1.00

Sebastian Cossa

Shots faced: 28
Saves: 26
Allowed: 2
xGA: 1.99
GSAx: -0.01

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:16Penalty
2nd 2:50Dominik Shine (0–1)low · wrist · 40 ft · beat Adam Scheel
2nd 8:09Jonatan Berggren (0–2)low · wrist · 30 ft · beat Adam Scheel
2nd 12:28Chris Terry (1–2)low · 39 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
2nd 13:36Max Comtois (2–2)medium · backhand · 32 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
2nd 16:13Josiah Didier (2–3)low · 69 ft · beat Adam Scheel
3rd 9:09Penalty
3rd 11:16Carter Mazur (2–4)grade A · wrist · rebound · 12 ft · beat Adam Scheel
3rd 17:18Carter Mazur (2–5)empty net · high · 21 ft · beat Adam Scheel