Belleville Senators at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Belleville Senators

4:6

Final

Laval Rocket

The sheet

BELLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

39%61%

xG: 2.63.9
High danger: 66
Chances: 1117
Shots: 3040

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal40

11Scoring chances17

6High-danger chances6

2.65Expected goals3.95

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	14–8	7–3	4–2	1.6–0.8
2nd	7–14	3–5	1–1	0.7–1.2
3rd	9–18	1–9	1–3	0.4–2.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
BEL	2	15:55 of the 3rd	4:05	4:05	+0.020 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Leevi Meriläinen

Shots faced: 40
Saves: 34
Allowed: 6
xGA: 3.95
GSAx: -2.05

Strauss Mann

Shots faced: 16
Saves: 16
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.07
GSAx: +1.07

Jakub Dobeš

Shots faced: 14
Saves: 10
Allowed: 4
xGA: 1.58
GSAx: -2.42

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:58Penalty
1st 4:22Bokondji Imama (1–0)medium · 24 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
1st 5:06Graham McPhee (2–0)medium · wrist · 12 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
1st 10:55Penalty
1st 12:56Penalty
1st 14:54Angus Crookshank (3–0)4v5 · high · 21 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
1st 16:20Penalty
1st 18:09Zack Ostapchuk (4–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 36 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
1st 18:21Penalty
1st 18:46Brandon Gignac (4–1)5v4 · high · rebound · 6 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
2nd 1:12Penalty
2nd 6:40Penalty
2nd 10:21Olivier Galipeau (4–2)medium · wrist · 24 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
2nd 10:42William Trudeau (4–3)low · 67 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
2nd 13:27Penalty
2nd 16:29Penalty
2nd 18:45Penalty
3rd 0:31Sean Farrell (4–4)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 21 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
3rd 4:16Penalty
3rd 4:16Penalty
3rd 5:49Penalty
3rd 9:03Penalty
3rd 12:44Mitchell Stephens (4–5)high · backhand · 8 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
3rd 13:05Penalty
3rd 13:05Penalty
3rd 15:55Tobie Bisson (4–6)medium · 17 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen