AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, November 15

Hershey Bears at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Hershey Bears
5:4
Final / OT
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

HERWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
58%42%
xG
2.21.6
High danger
32
Chances
67
Shots
2621

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineHER belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal21
6Scoring chances7
3High-danger chances2
2.19Expected goals1.65

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–123–31–10.9–0.9
2nd4–61–40–10.3–0.8
3rd10–32–02–00.8–0.0
OT3–00–00–00.2–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
26
Saves
21
Allowed
5
xGA
2.19
GSAx
-2.81
Shots faced
21
Saves
17
Allowed
4
xGA
1.65
GSAx
-2.35

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:24Joe Snively (1–0)low · 30 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 1st 10:09Valtteri Puustinen (1–1)medium · 31 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 1st 10:41Penalty
  • 1st 13:57Jimmy Huntington (2–1)medium · 20 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 1st 14:05Penalty
  • 2nd 0:31Jansen Harkins (2–2)high · 4 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 3:09Penalty
  • 2nd 4:46Penalty
  • 2nd 6:32Jansen Harkins (2–3)5v4 · medium · 29 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 8:08Jimmy Huntington (3–3)low · 33 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 10:55Vincent Iorio (4–3)medium · 17 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 13:47Jagger Joshua (4–4)medium · 11 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 3rd 5:20Penalty
  • OT 2:51Alex Limoges (5–4)low · 33 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist