AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 17

Hartford Wolf Pack at Syracuse Crunch

Upstate Medical University Arena · Syracuse, NY

Hartford Wolf Pack
3:5
Final
Syracuse Crunch

The sheet

HFDSYRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
33%67%
xG
1.82.4
High danger
12
Chances
67
Shots
2225

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SYR above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SYR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal25
6Scoring chances7
1High-danger chances2
1.81Expected goals2.41

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–63–00–00.8–0.3
2nd7–102–31–00.5–0.9
3rd7–91–40–20.5–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dylan Garand
Shots faced
25
Saves
20
Allowed
5
xGA
2.41
GSAx
-2.59
Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
22
Saves
19
Allowed
3
xGA
1.81
GSAx
-1.19

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:35Penalty
  • 1st 9:32Maxim Groshev (0–1)low · 25 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 1st 13:03Penalty
  • 1st 13:05Jonny Brodzinski (1–1)5v4 · low · 53 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 1st 15:17Penalty
  • 1st 17:37Anton Blidh (2–1)medium · 28 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 4:55Penalty
  • 2nd 7:37Penalty
  • 2nd 10:25Daniel Walcott (2–2)medium · 24 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 13:03Penalty
  • 3rd 3:21Daniel Walcott (2–3)high · 15 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 6:30Penalty
  • 3rd 6:52Jonny Brodzinski (3–3)5v4 · medium · 36 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 10:15Penalty
  • 3rd 10:15Penalty
  • 3rd 13:23Gabriel Dumont (3–4)grade A · rebound · 17 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 18:34Gabriel Dumont (3–5)medium · 22 ft · beat Dylan Garand