AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 18

Rochester Americans at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Rochester Americans
7:5
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

ROCCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
31%69%
xG
2.12.6
High danger
24
Chances
810
Shots
2431

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal31
8Scoring chances10
2High-danger chances4
2.05Expected goals2.60

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–83–21–10.8–0.5
2nd7–122–40–00.6–0.8
3rd8–113–41–30.7–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dustin Tokarski
Shots faced
31
Saves
26
Allowed
5
xGA
2.60
GSAx
-2.40
Jet Greaves
Shots faced
24
Saves
17
Allowed
7
xGA
2.05
GSAx
-4.95

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:57Emil Bemström (0–1)high · 19 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 1st 11:49Jiří Kulich (1–1)low · 37 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 18:20Penalty
  • 1st 19:08Penalty
  • 2nd 0:47Kent Johnson (1–2)5v4 · medium · slap · 29 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 2nd 1:41Mason Jobst (2–2)medium · tip · 11 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 1:59Isak Rosén (3–2)low · 45 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 4:30Penalty
  • 2nd 4:35Penalty
  • 2nd 5:39Brandon Biro (4–2)5v4 · medium · wrist · 48 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 0:44Marcus Björk (4–3)medium · 28 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 3rd 3:27Emil Bemström (4–4)high · tip · 19 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 3rd 7:45Carson Meyer (4–5)low · snap · 44 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 3rd 10:38Brandon Biro (5–5)low · snap · 9 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 14:53Riley Stillman (6–5)medium · wrist · 22 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 18:48Penalty
  • 3rd 18:48Isak Rosén (7–5)empty net · high · 9 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 19:14Penalty
  • 3rd 19:22Penalty