AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, November 21

San Diego Gulls at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

San Diego Gulls
4:5
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

SDSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
42%58%
xG
2.72.7
High danger
23
Chances
1410
Shots
3024

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal24
14Scoring chances10
2High-danger chances3
2.66Expected goals2.65

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–68–11–11.3–0.5
2nd5–141–70–20.3–1.8
3rd13–45–21–01.0–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.012 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
30
Saves
26
Allowed
4
xGA
2.66
GSAx
-1.34
Calle Clang
Shots faced
24
Saves
19
Allowed
5
xGA
2.65
GSAx
-2.35

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:15Penalty
  • 1st 5:34Penalty
  • 1st 5:46Thomas Bordeleau (0–1)5v4 · high · 13 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 1st 12:42Penalty
  • 2nd 1:04Penalty
  • 2nd 5:16Penalty
  • 2nd 7:00Jacob Peterson (0–2)5v4 · high · 22 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 7:27Brandon Coe (0–3)medium · 18 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 8:47Penalty
  • 2nd 10:00Andrew Agozzino (1–3)5v4 · medium · 57 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 15:07Thomas Bordeleau (1–4)medium · 8 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 18:34Ethan Cardwell (1–5)grade A · 9 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 1:04Penalty
  • 3rd 1:21Penalty
  • 3rd 10:13Pavol Regenda (2–5)medium · 11 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 13:56Nathan Gaucher (3–5)high · 12 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 19:43Trevor Carrick (4–5)low · 60 ft · beat Georgii Romanov