Cleveland Monsters at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Cleveland Monsters

5:2

Final

Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

CLECLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

58%42%

xG: 4.53.9
High danger: 88
Chances: 1816
Shots: 3941

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLT above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal41

18Scoring chances16

8High-danger chances8

4.47Expected goals3.93

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	17–11	6–4	1–1	1.3–0.9
2nd	10–18	6–7	3–4	1.5–1.8
3rd	12–12	6–5	4–3	1.7–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLT	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jet Greaves

Shots faced: 41
Saves: 39
Allowed: 2
xGA: 3.93
GSAx: +1.93

Ludovic Waeber

Shots faced: 39
Saves: 34
Allowed: 5
xGA: 4.47
GSAx: -0.53

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 7:59Penalty
1st 9:42Penalty
1st 18:01Penalty
1st 18:01Penalty
2nd 0:58Mikael Pyyhtiä (1–0)high · 2 ft · beat Ludovic Waeber
2nd 3:40Kent Johnson (2–0)grade A · 14 ft · beat Ludovic Waeber
2nd 5:49Penalty
2nd 6:05Penalty
2nd 8:40Alexander True (2–1)high · 5 ft · beat Jet Greaves
2nd 10:36Penalty
2nd 11:31Emil Bemström (3–1)5v4 · medium · 25 ft · beat Ludovic Waeber
2nd 13:15Penalty
2nd 13:43Gerry Mayhew (3–2)5v4 · high · rebound · 12 ft · beat Jet Greaves
2nd 16:08Penalty
2nd 16:42Penalty
3rd 7:55Penalty
3rd 13:57Penalty
3rd 17:37Carson Meyer (4–2)grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Ludovic Waeber
3rd 18:07Emil Bemström (5–2)empty net · high · 9 ft · beat Ludovic Waeber