AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 24

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
3:6
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

WBSCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
22%78%
xG
1.92.8
High danger
16
Chances
811
Shots
2730

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal30
8Scoring chances11
1High-danger chances6
1.86Expected goals2.84

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–102–30–10.4–0.9
2nd6–102–51–40.5–1.2
3rd15–104–30–11.0–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS30:00 of the 3rd20:0013:38+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Magnus Hellberg
Shots faced
30
Saves
24
Allowed
6
xGA
2.84
GSAx
-3.16
Spencer Knight
Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
1.86
GSAx
-1.14

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:00Penalty
  • 1st 9:09Penalty
  • 1st 10:27Justin Sourdif (0–1)5v4 · medium · 31 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 1st 15:52Mackie Samoskevich (0–2)medium · 16 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 2nd 1:18Penalty
  • 2nd 7:01Penalty
  • 2nd 14:39Penalty
  • 2nd 14:47Zac Dalpe (0–3)5v4 · high · snap · 37 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 2nd 16:34Penalty
  • 3rd 0:18Jonathan Gruden (1–3)medium · 26 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 3rd 2:42Cédric Desruisseaux (2–3)medium · 18 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 3rd 5:28Santtu Kinnunen (2–4)medium · 10 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 3rd 5:59Brendan Perlini (2–5)low · 42 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 3rd 11:27Ty Smith (3–5)low · 61 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 3rd 12:42Penalty
  • 3rd 16:09Penalty
  • 3rd 17:41Penalty
  • 3rd 19:09Justin Sourdif (3–6)empty net · high · 9 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg