Manitoba Moose at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Manitoba Moose

1:5

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

MBGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

38%62%

xG: 3.14.0
High danger: 88
Chances: 1217
Shots: 3037

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal37

12Scoring chances17

8High-danger chances8

3.10Expected goals4.01

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–11	3–4	2–1	0.9–0.9
2nd	11–11	5–6	3–4	1.2–1.3
3rd	10–15	4–7	3–3	1.1–1.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
MB	3	4:44 of the 3rd	15:16	15:16	+0.020 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Collin Delia

Shots faced: 37
Saves: 32
Allowed: 5
xGA: 4.01
GSAx: -0.99

Michael Hutchinson

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 29
Allowed: 1
xGA: 3.10
GSAx: +2.10

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:10Tyler Spezia (0–1)medium · snap · 16 ft · beat Collin Delia
1st 12:09Penalty
1st 14:56Penalty
2nd 3:42Penalty
2nd 7:12Penalty
2nd 9:47Penalty
2nd 13:15Joel L’Esperance (0–2)high · 7 ft · beat Collin Delia
2nd 17:18Penalty
3rd 4:13Penalty
3rd 4:44Jonatan Berggren (0–3)5v4 · low · wrist · 56 ft · beat Collin Delia
3rd 12:11Penalty
3rd 12:26Taro Hirose (0–4)5v4 · medium · 33 ft · beat Collin Delia
3rd 17:11Joel L’Esperance (0–5)grade A · rebound · 19 ft · beat Collin Delia
3rd 18:45Penalty
3rd 18:45Penalty
3rd 19:51Jeff Malott (1–5)4v5 · high · 14 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson