AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 24

Providence Bruins at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Providence Bruins
2:1
Final / OT
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

PROLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
25%75%
xG
2.74.3
High danger
27
Chances
812
Shots
2842

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal42
8Scoring chances12
2High-danger chances7
2.68Expected goals4.26

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–161–30–20.4–1.5
2nd10–85–32–21.4–0.7
3rd9–172–60–30.6–2.0
OT4–10–00–00.3–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
42
Saves
41
Allowed
1
xGA
4.26
GSAx
+3.26
Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
2.68
GSAx
+0.68

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 12:06Penalty
  • 1st 14:02Penalty
  • 1st 17:13Penalty
  • 1st 19:02Jayson Megna (1–0)5v4 · low · 47 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 6:04Penalty
  • 2nd 15:31Penalty
  • 2nd 15:31Penalty
  • 2nd 17:51Penalty
  • 3rd 5:28Penalty
  • 3rd 14:02Penalty
  • 3rd 14:12Olle Lycksell (1–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • OT 1:19Penalty
  • OT 2:25Penalty
  • OT 2:25Fabian Lysell (2–1)5v4 · low · 26 ft · beat Cal Petersen