AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 24

Milwaukee Admirals at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Milwaukee Admirals
1:2
Final / OT
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

MILRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
64%36%
xG
2.62.6
High danger
43
Chances
115
Shots
3325

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal25
11Scoring chances5
4High-danger chances3
2.62Expected goals2.62

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–41–00–00.4–0.2
2nd9–75–02–00.9–0.3
3rd14–84–32–20.9–1.1
OT3–61–20–10.4–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
33
Saves
32
Allowed
1
xGA
2.62
GSAx
+1.62
Shots faced
25
Saves
23
Allowed
2
xGA
2.62
GSAx
+0.62

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 13:02Penalty
  • 2nd 1:21Penalty
  • 2nd 14:23Penalty
  • 2nd 14:23Penalty
  • 2nd 17:25Penalty
  • 3rd 0:29Colton Dach (0–1)grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 3rd 11:45Keaton Thompson (1–1)low · 63 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • OT 3:55David Gust (1–2)grade A · rebound · 24 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov