AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 24

Chicago Wolves at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Chicago Wolves
6:4
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

CHISDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
73%27%
xG
2.31.8
High danger
52
Chances
85
Shots
2419

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal19
8Scoring chances5
5High-danger chances2
2.27Expected goals1.83

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–34–22–21.2–0.9
2nd6–112–22–00.6–0.5
3rd7–52–11–00.5–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD213:06 of the 3rd6:546:54+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Calle Clang
Shots faced
24
Saves
18
Allowed
6
xGA
2.27
GSAx
-3.73
Keith Kinkaid
Shots faced
19
Saves
15
Allowed
4
xGA
1.83
GSAx
-2.17

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:25Ben King (0–1)grade A · 44 ft · beat Keith Kinkaid
  • 1st 12:10Penalty
  • 1st 12:33Penalty
  • 1st 14:15Chris Terry (1–1)5v4 · low · 42 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 1st 14:58Penalty
  • 1st 18:36Rocco Grimaldi (2–1)low · 40 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 7:43Pavol Regenda (2–2)medium · 9 ft · beat Keith Kinkaid
  • 2nd 8:08Penalty
  • 2nd 8:18Chris Terry (3–2)5v4 · low · 58 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 8:47Olen Zellweger (3–3)low · 50 ft · beat Keith Kinkaid
  • 2nd 14:59Cole Schneider (4–3)high · 14 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 15:23Cavan Fitzgerald (5–3)low · 63 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 19:19Jacob Perreault (5–4)low · 70 ft · beat Keith Kinkaid
  • 2nd 19:45Penalty
  • 3rd 7:10Penalty
  • 3rd 8:41Penalty
  • 3rd 13:06Nathan Sucese (6–4)high · 14 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 19:24Penalty