AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 25

Rockford IceHogs at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Rockford IceHogs
2:3
Final / OT
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

RFDMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
45%55%
xG
2.62.7
High danger
43
Chances
89
Shots
2832

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineRFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal32
8Scoring chances9
4High-danger chances3
2.58Expected goals2.66

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–111–20–10.4–0.9
2nd15–106–43–21.7–1.0
3rd5–101–31–00.5–0.7
OT0–10–00–00.0–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
32
Saves
29
Allowed
3
xGA
2.66
GSAx
-0.34
Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
2.58
GSAx
+0.58

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:25Penalty
  • 1st 19:32Penalty
  • 2nd 12:37Ryan Gagnier (1–0)high · 22 ft · beat Troy Grosenick
  • 2nd 13:29Penalty
  • 2nd 13:53Fedor Svechkov (1–1)5v4 · medium · 16 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 18:45Penalty
  • 3rd 7:23Zach Jordan (2–1)low · 28 ft · beat Troy Grosenick
  • 3rd 11:36Penalty
  • 3rd 15:52Roland McKeown (2–2)medium · 16 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • OT 0:12Denis Gurianov (2–3)low · 22 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber