AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 25

Utica Comets at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Utica Comets
0:7
Final
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

UTCSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
26%74%
xG
3.04.2
High danger
411
Chances
1119
Shots
3329

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal29
11Scoring chances19
4High-danger chances11
3.01Expected goals4.19

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–141–60–20.5–1.3
2nd5–92–81–50.5–1.8
3rd19–68–53–41.9–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

UTC−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
UTC30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Vadim Zherenko
Shots faced
33
Saves
33
Allowed
0
xGA
3.01
GSAx
+3.01
Isaac Poulter
Shots faced
29
Saves
22
Allowed
7
xGA
4.19
GSAx
-2.81

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 13:04Penalty
  • 1st 13:16Matthew Peca (0–1)4v5 · medium · 41 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 1st 18:49Penalty
  • 2nd 10:00Mackenzie MacEachern (0–2)high · rebound · 10 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 2nd 11:49Penalty
  • 2nd 13:28Mikhail Abramov (0–3)5v4 · grade A · 12 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 2nd 17:30Penalty
  • 2nd 17:30Penalty
  • 2nd 19:47Penalty
  • 2nd 19:47Penalty
  • 2nd 19:47Penalty
  • 3rd 4:09Penalty
  • 3rd 4:09Zach Dean (0–4)high · 21 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 3rd 9:29Penalty
  • 3rd 9:54Zachary Bolduc (0–5)5v4 · high · 20 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 3rd 12:58Will Bitten (0–6)high · 24 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 3rd 13:07Penalty
  • 3rd 15:57Penalty
  • 3rd 16:26Penalty
  • 3rd 16:30Penalty
  • 3rd 17:07Will Bitten (0–7)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Isaac Poulter