Chicago Wolves at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Chicago Wolves

1:3

Final

San Diego Gulls

The sheet

CHISDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

81%19%

xG: 2.61.4
High danger: 41
Chances: 85
Shots: 2425

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

SD above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal25

8Scoring chances5

4High-danger chances1

2.58Expected goals1.43

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–10	2–2	0–0	0.7–0.6
2nd	9–8	5–1	3–0	1.2–0.3
3rd	6–7	1–2	1–1	0.7–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CHI	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Adam Scheel

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 22
Allowed: 3
xGA: 1.43
GSAx: -1.57

Tomas Suchanek

Shots faced: 24
Saves: 23
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.58
GSAx: +1.58

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 11:39Judd Caulfield (0–1)low · 25 ft · beat Adam Scheel
1st 12:08Penalty
1st 18:33Penalty
1st 18:33Penalty
2nd 8:28Rocco Grimaldi (1–1)high · 12 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
2nd 12:29Penalty
2nd 16:56Robert Hägg (1–2)low · 59 ft · beat Adam Scheel
2nd 18:39Penalty
3rd 9:04Penalty
3rd 13:34Penalty
3rd 17:45Josh Lopina (1–3)empty net · low · 140 ft · beat Adam Scheel
3rd 19:42Penalty