AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, November 26

Abbotsford Canucks at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Abbotsford Canucks
7:2
Final
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

ABBCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
69%31%
xG
4.23.0
High danger
95
Chances
1713
Shots
3231

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal31
17Scoring chances13
9High-danger chances5
4.22Expected goals2.97

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–46–24–01.4–0.3
2nd14–139–54–22.2–1.2
3rd7–142–61–30.6–1.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.004 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nikita Tolopilo
Shots faced
31
Saves
29
Allowed
2
xGA
2.97
GSAx
+0.97
Oscar Dansk
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
2.50
GSAx
-0.50
Dustin Wolf
Shots faced
12
Saves
8
Allowed
4
xGA
1.72
GSAx
-2.28

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:30Chad Nychuk (1–0)medium · wrist · 12 ft · beat Dustin Wolf
  • 1st 5:28Penalty
  • 1st 10:20Aidan McDonough (2–0)high · tip · 12 ft · beat Dustin Wolf
  • 1st 11:36Penalty
  • 1st 16:36Penalty
  • 1st 18:27Aatu Räty (3–0)5v4 · high · backhand · 8 ft · beat Dustin Wolf
  • 1st 19:36Penalty
  • 2nd 1:36Marc Gatcomb (4–0)4v5 · grade A · wrist · 8 ft · beat Dustin Wolf
  • 2nd 5:19Tristen Nielsen (5–0)medium · wrist · 19 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 9:08Penalty
  • 2nd 11:05Penalty
  • 2nd 11:05Penalty
  • 2nd 14:16Sheldon Dries (6–0)5v4 · high · wrist · rebound · 10 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 14:33Penalty
  • 2nd 15:58Matt Coronato (6–1)high · wrist · rebound · 34 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 2nd 17:46Penalty
  • 3rd 5:35Penalty
  • 3rd 9:44Filip Johansson (7–1)low · wrist · 50 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 10:42Penalty
  • 3rd 15:00Adam Klapka (7–2)high · wrist · 10 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo