Chicago Wolves at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Chicago Wolves

0:4

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CHIGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

33%67%

xG: 2.63.3
High danger: 59
Chances: 912
Shots: 3226

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal26

9Scoring chances12

5High-danger chances9

2.63Expected goals3.25

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–15	2–4	2–3	0.6–1.3
2nd	9–9	1–6	0–5	0.4–1.6
3rd	16–2	6–2	3–1	1.6–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CHI	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Michael Hutchinson

Shots faced: 32
Saves: 32
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.63
GSAx: +2.63

Keith Kinkaid

Shots faced: 24
Saves: 21
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.94
GSAx: -0.06

Adam Scheel

Shots faced: 2
Saves: 1
Allowed: 1
xGA: 0.32
GSAx: -0.68

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 11:24Penalty
1st 16:19Zach Aston-Reese (0–1)high · wrist · 7 ft · beat Keith Kinkaid
1st 18:50Amadeus Lombardi (0–2)low · slap · 24 ft · beat Keith Kinkaid
2nd 4:19Penalty
2nd 6:11Penalty
2nd 6:56Penalty
2nd 8:59Zach Aston-Reese (0–3)high · 5 ft · beat Keith Kinkaid
2nd 10:54Penalty
3rd 1:46Taro Hirose (0–4)high · snap · 18 ft · beat Adam Scheel
3rd 12:17Penalty
3rd 12:17Penalty
3rd 17:56Penalty