AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 1

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
3:7
Final
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

LVHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
41%59%
xG
4.75.4
High danger
911
Chances
2323
Shots
3939

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0246P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal39
23Scoring chances23
9High-danger chances11
4.74Expected goals5.45

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–206–113–51.3–2.7
2nd13–118–84–41.6–1.9
3rd15–89–42–21.8–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.012 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Louis Domingue
Shots faced
39
Saves
36
Allowed
3
xGA
4.74
GSAx
+1.74
Cal Petersen
Shots faced
39
Saves
32
Allowed
7
xGA
5.45
GSAx
-1.55

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:18Penalty
  • 1st 13:24Penalty
  • 1st 14:56Riley Nash (0–1)4v5 · medium · 14 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 15:39Penalty
  • 1st 17:12Adam Sýkora (0–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 17:43Penalty
  • 1st 19:36Anton Blidh (0–3)5v4 · grade A · 3 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 4:15Penalty
  • 2nd 5:51Riley Nash (0–4)5v4 · medium · 10 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 10:51J.R. Avon (1–4)medium · 21 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 12:10Ronnie Attard (2–4)medium · 12 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 14:05Penalty
  • 2nd 15:38Penalty
  • 2nd 17:41Brennan Othmann (2–5)high · 18 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 18:26Ryder Korczak (2–6)grade A · 7 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 7:14Penalty
  • 3rd 11:16Penalty
  • 3rd 11:35Ryder Korczak (2–7)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 12:03Penalty
  • 3rd 12:03Penalty
  • 3rd 12:03Penalty
  • 3rd 12:03Penalty
  • 3rd 12:03Penalty
  • 3rd 13:00Samu Tuomaala (3–7)5v4 · medium · 20 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 14:12Penalty
  • 3rd 14:12Penalty
  • 3rd 18:43Penalty