AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 1

Bridgeport Islanders at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Bridgeport Islanders
3:6
Final
Providence Bruins

The sheet

BRIPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
28%72%
xG
2.22.3
High danger
35
Chances
57
Shots
2727

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
PRO above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal27
5Scoring chances7
3High-danger chances5
2.16Expected goals2.27

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–90–10–00.3–0.5
2nd10–91–40–40.5–1.1
3rd13–94–23–11.4–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.012 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Michael DiPietro
Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
2.16
GSAx
-0.84
Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
27
Saves
21
Allowed
6
xGA
2.27
GSAx
-3.73

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:38Penalty
  • 1st 3:38Penalty
  • 1st 12:56Penalty
  • 2nd 1:04Marc McLaughlin (0–1)high · 7 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 6:10Parker Wotherspoon (0–2)low · 55 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 6:31Penalty
  • 2nd 8:44Otto Koivula (1–2)medium · 11 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 2nd 12:46Anthony Richard (1–3)low · 58 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 14:10Georgii Merkulov (1–4)high · 13 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 18:15Penalty
  • 2nd 19:05Brett Harrison (1–5)5v4 · high · 11 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 3rd 2:14Penalty
  • 3rd 5:53Patrick Brown (1–6)high · 23 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 3rd 13:32Penalty
  • 3rd 15:16Karson Kuhlman (2–6)4v5 · high · 11 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 3rd 15:43Penalty
  • 3rd 15:43Penalty
  • 3rd 15:43Penalty
  • 3rd 15:43Penalty
  • 3rd 16:18Ruslan Iskhakov (3–6)5v4 · low · 39 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 3rd 19:13Penalty