AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 1

San Jose Barracuda at Tucson Roadrunners

Tucson Convention Center Arena · Tucson, AZ

San Jose Barracuda
1:5
Final
Tucson Roadrunners

The sheet

SJTUCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
27%73%
xG
2.84.2
High danger
56
Chances
820
Shots
2534

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TUC above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% TUC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal34
8Scoring chances20
5High-danger chances6
2.81Expected goals4.21

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st3–141–80–10.2–1.8
2nd10–123–72–41.1–1.5
3rd12–84–53–11.4–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.004 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Magnus Chrona
Shots faced
34
Saves
29
Allowed
5
xGA
4.22
GSAx
-0.78
Matthew Villalta
Shots faced
25
Saves
24
Allowed
1
xGA
2.81
GSAx
+1.81

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:34Josh Doan (0–1)grade A · 44 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 1st 9:44Penalty
  • 1st 11:02Josh Doan (0–2)5v4 · medium · 43 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 1st 11:16Penalty
  • 1st 15:56Penalty
  • 1st 15:56Penalty
  • 1st 17:29Zach Sanford (0–3)medium · 27 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 1st 18:59Travis Barron (0–4)low · 41 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 1st 19:55Penalty
  • 1st 19:55Penalty
  • 2nd 5:04Penalty
  • 2nd 5:07Victor Söderström (0–5)5v4 · medium · 50 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 2nd 6:35Penalty
  • 2nd 10:51Penalty
  • 3rd 0:15Penalty
  • 3rd 2:12Penalty
  • 3rd 4:04Ethan Cardwell (1–5)5v4 · high · 4 ft · beat Matthew Villalta
  • 3rd 7:11Penalty
  • 3rd 7:11Penalty
  • 3rd 7:11Penalty
  • 3rd 8:55Penalty
  • 3rd 8:55Penalty
  • 3rd 8:55Penalty
  • 3rd 8:55Penalty
  • 3rd 10:27Penalty
  • 3rd 14:14Penalty
  • 3rd 14:14Penalty