AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 1

Coachella Valley Firebirds at Ontario Reign

Toyota Arena · Ontario, CA

Coachella Valley Firebirds
2:0
Final
Ontario Reign

The sheet

CVONTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
61%39%
xG
2.12.3
High danger
42
Chances
87
Shots
2128

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ONT above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% ONT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal28
8Scoring chances7
4High-danger chances2
2.12Expected goals2.32

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–83–23–10.9–0.7
2nd9–141–41–10.7–1.2
3rd5–64–10–00.6–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ONT−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ONT212:08 of the 3rd7:527:52+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Chris Driedger
Shots faced
28
Saves
28
Allowed
0
xGA
2.32
GSAx
+2.32
David Rittich
Shots faced
21
Saves
19
Allowed
2
xGA
2.12
GSAx
+0.12

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:27Penalty
  • 1st 2:27Penalty
  • 1st 5:49Penalty
  • 1st 6:31Devin Shore (1–0)5v4 · grade A · 17 ft · beat David Rittich
  • 1st 10:51Penalty
  • 2nd 0:33Penalty
  • 2nd 7:31Penalty
  • 2nd 12:38Penalty
  • 2nd 18:46Shane Wright (2–0)low · 29 ft · beat David Rittich
  • 3rd 3:41Penalty
  • 3rd 6:18Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty