Laval Rocket at Abbotsford Canucks

Abbotsford Centre · Abbotsford, BC

Laval Rocket

2:4

Final

Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

LAVABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

28%72%

xG: 2.83.5
High danger: 37
Chances: 912
Shots: 3239

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

ABB above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal39

9Scoring chances12

3High-danger chances7

2.76Expected goals3.52

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	14–15	5–6	3–5	1.3–1.6
2nd	12–14	2–5	0–2	0.9–1.3
3rd	6–10	2–1	0–0	0.6–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LAV	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Strauss Mann

Shots faced: 39
Saves: 35
Allowed: 4
xGA: 3.52
GSAx: -0.48

Artūrs Šilovs

Shots faced: 32
Saves: 30
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.76
GSAx: +0.76

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:02Brady Keeper (1–0)low · 45 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
1st 5:42Penalty
1st 12:45Philippe Maillet (2–0)high · rebound · 11 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
1st 17:09John Stevens (2–1)high · 25 ft · beat Strauss Mann
1st 17:28Penalty
1st 17:28Penalty
1st 17:36Sheldon Dries (2–2)high · 27 ft · beat Strauss Mann
1st 18:35Penalty
2nd 7:55Penalty
2nd 9:20Penalty
2nd 12:25Penalty
2nd 14:53Vasily Podkolzin (2–3)medium · 16 ft · beat Strauss Mann
3rd 7:06Penalty
3rd 19:58John Stevens (2–4)empty net · low · 86 ft · beat Strauss Mann