AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, December 2

Iowa Wild at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Iowa Wild
3:2
Final
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

IACOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
2.54.4
High danger
67
Chances
1119
Shots
2545

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineIA belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal45
11Scoring chances19
6High-danger chances7
2.53Expected goals4.44

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–173–52–10.8–1.3
2nd8–164–92–40.9–2.0
3rd7–124–52–20.8–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

COL−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
COL116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jesper Wallstedt
Shots faced
45
Saves
43
Allowed
2
xGA
4.44
GSAx
+2.44
Trent Miner
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
2.53
GSAx
-0.47

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:50Penalty
  • 1st 9:39Ben Meyers (0–1)low · 13 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 1st 10:30Penalty
  • 1st 12:02Andy Welinski (1–1)5v4 · low · 48 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 12:39Penalty
  • 1st 14:19Joel Teasdale (2–1)5v4 · medium · 22 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 15:25Penalty
  • 1st 19:17Penalty
  • 2nd 9:32Penalty
  • 2nd 9:32Penalty
  • 2nd 9:32Penalty
  • 2nd 9:32Penalty
  • 2nd 10:24Penalty
  • 2nd 18:51Penalty
  • 2nd 18:51Penalty
  • 3rd 2:50Adam Raška (3–1)medium · 19 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 3rd 4:56Keaton Middleton (3–2)medium · 7 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 3rd 10:08Penalty
  • 3rd 10:39Penalty