AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, December 3

Utica Comets at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Utica Comets
7:6
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

UTCCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
52%48%
xG
4.04.2
High danger
76
Chances
1317
Shots
4039

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

40Shots on goal39
13Scoring chances17
7High-danger chances6
4.04Expected goals4.19

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–165–73–31.3–2.0
2nd11–133–72–21.0–1.3
3rd17–105–32–11.7–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Pavel Cajan
Shots faced
40
Saves
33
Allowed
7
xGA
4.04
GSAx
-2.96
Isaac Poulter
Shots faced
23
Saves
22
Allowed
1
xGA
2.14
GSAx
+1.14
Erik Källgren
Shots faced
16
Saves
11
Allowed
5
xGA
2.05
GSAx
-2.95

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:09Graeme Clarke (1–0)low · wrist · 39 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
  • 1st 2:43James Malatesta (1–1)medium · snap · 15 ft · beat Erik Källgren
  • 1st 8:17Jake Christiansen (1–2)low · 28 ft · beat Erik Källgren
  • 1st 9:18Owen Sillinger (1–3)grade A · snap · rebound · 18 ft · beat Erik Källgren
  • 1st 12:07Tyler Wotherspoon (2–3)high · rebound · 14 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
  • 1st 12:31Trey Fix-Wolansky (2–4)low · snap · 36 ft · beat Erik Källgren
  • 1st 13:21Hunter McKown (2–5)low · slap · 36 ft · beat Erik Källgren
  • 1st 18:03Penalty
  • 2nd 0:28Penalty
  • 2nd 2:04Penalty
  • 2nd 3:53Penalty
  • 2nd 6:33Timur Ibragimov (3–5)low · snap · 49 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
  • 2nd 8:02Penalty
  • 2nd 8:02Penalty
  • 2nd 12:56Emil Bemström (3–6)high · backhand · 9 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 2nd 17:48Max Willman (4–6)medium · 17 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
  • 2nd 19:50Penalty
  • 3rd 1:11Penalty
  • 3rd 7:01Penalty
  • 3rd 7:23Ryan Schmelzer (5–6)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
  • 3rd 12:50Samuel Laberge (6–6)low · wrist · 27 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
  • 3rd 15:34Daniil Misyul (7–6)low · wrist · 29 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
  • 3rd 19:21Penalty