AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, December 6

Belleville Senators at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Belleville Senators
5:2
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

BELLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
48%52%
xG
2.52.7
High danger
22
Chances
109
Shots
2830

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal30
10Scoring chances9
2High-danger chances2
2.51Expected goals2.73

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–43–02–01.0–0.2
2nd11–142–40–10.7–1.2
3rd8–125–50–10.9–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.012 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Kevin Mandolese
Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
2.73
GSAx
+0.73
Strauss Mann
Shots faced
28
Saves
23
Allowed
5
xGA
2.51
GSAx
-2.49

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:45Egor Sokolov (1–0)low · slap · 17 ft · beat Strauss Mann
  • 1st 5:24Penalty
  • 1st 5:24Garrett Pilon (2–0)high · backhand · rebound · 10 ft · beat Strauss Mann
  • 1st 9:14Penalty
  • 1st 11:23Penalty
  • 1st 16:40Penalty
  • 1st 16:40Penalty
  • 1st 16:40Penalty
  • 2nd 1:31Tyler Kleven (3–0)low · slap · 60 ft · beat Strauss Mann
  • 2nd 3:52Penalty
  • 2nd 4:46Penalty
  • 2nd 7:52Penalty
  • 2nd 13:59Penalty
  • 2nd 13:59Penalty
  • 2nd 15:24Penalty
  • 2nd 15:30Lassi Thomson (4–0)low · wrist · 46 ft · beat Strauss Mann
  • 2nd 16:16Penalty
  • 2nd 19:14Penalty
  • 3rd 6:25Penalty
  • 3rd 8:04Penalty
  • 3rd 8:04Penalty
  • 3rd 9:18Penalty
  • 3rd 10:30Penalty
  • 3rd 12:23Garrett Pilon (5–0)empty net · low · wrist · 91 ft · beat Strauss Mann
  • 3rd 15:37Riley McKay (5–1)medium · tip · 10 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 3rd 17:12Lucas Condotta (5–2)high · wrist · 11 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese