AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 8

Bridgeport Islanders at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Bridgeport Islanders
1:4
Final
Utica Comets

The sheet

BRIUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
36%64%
xG
2.62.6
High danger
26
Chances
97
Shots
3225

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal25
9Scoring chances7
2High-danger chances6
2.59Expected goals2.59

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–93–11–11.2–0.7
2nd7–102–50–40.5–1.5
3rd15–64–11–11.0–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI212:08 of the 3rd7:527:52+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nico Daws
Shots faced
32
Saves
31
Allowed
1
xGA
2.59
GSAx
+1.59
Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
25
Saves
21
Allowed
4
xGA
2.59
GSAx
-1.41

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:10Tyler Wotherspoon (0–1)low · 40 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 5:39Penalty
  • 1st 14:13Penalty
  • 1st 16:28Penalty
  • 1st 16:28Penalty
  • 2nd 1:24Graeme Clarke (0–2)high · 16 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 3:34Penalty
  • 2nd 9:35Santeri Hatakka (0–3)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 12:11Otto Koivula (1–3)low · 32 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 15:46Penalty
  • 3rd 18:50Max Willman (1–4)empty net · low · 37 ft · beat Jakub Skarek