AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 8

San Diego Gulls at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

San Diego Gulls
7:0
Final
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

SDRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
74%26%
xG
3.11.8
High danger
43
Chances
167
Shots
3121

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal21
16Scoring chances7
4High-danger chances3
3.13Expected goals1.84

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–45–12–11.1–0.3
2nd12–105–21–11.1–0.7
3rd7–76–41–10.9–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

RFD−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
RFD50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.004 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Tomas Suchanek
Shots faced
21
Saves
21
Allowed
0
xGA
1.84
GSAx
+1.84
Jaxson Stauber
Shots faced
16
Saves
12
Allowed
4
xGA
1.83
GSAx
-2.17
Drew Commesso
Shots faced
15
Saves
12
Allowed
3
xGA
1.31
GSAx
-1.69

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:55Penalty
  • 1st 6:17Penalty
  • 1st 10:52Penalty
  • 1st 11:08Andrew Agozzino (1–0)5v4 · low · 45 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 1st 16:47Andrew Agozzino (2–0)high · 9 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 2nd 1:26Jacob Perreault (3–0)low · rebound · 42 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 2nd 2:46Nathan Gaucher (4–0)high · 13 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 3:27Penalty
  • 2nd 11:31Penalty
  • 2nd 19:58Judd Caulfield (5–0)medium · 13 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 3rd 0:23Brayden Tracey (6–0)medium · 33 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 3rd 1:08Penalty
  • 3rd 5:16Penalty
  • 3rd 6:35Ben King (7–0)5v4 · medium · 10 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 3rd 7:15Penalty
  • 3rd 9:40Penalty