AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 8

Manitoba Moose at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Manitoba Moose
2:6
Final
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

MBCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
49%51%
xG
2.32.8
High danger
33
Chances
108
Shots
3137

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal37
10Scoring chances8
3High-danger chances3
2.32Expected goals2.79

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–93–02–00.7–0.3
2nd5–192–41–20.4–1.6
3rd18–95–40–11.2–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MB−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MB38:59 of the 3rd11:0111:01+0.016 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Collin Delia
Shots faced
37
Saves
31
Allowed
6
xGA
2.79
GSAx
-3.21
Oscar Dansk
Shots faced
31
Saves
29
Allowed
2
xGA
2.32
GSAx
+0.32

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 14:50Penalty
  • 1st 15:27Penalty
  • 1st 16:16Danny Zhilkin (1–0)medium · wrist · 21 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 18:03Penalty
  • 2nd 0:48Penalty
  • 2nd 1:01Emilio Pettersen (1–1)5v4 · low · slap · 44 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 2nd 5:47Penalty
  • 2nd 5:47Penalty
  • 2nd 5:47Penalty
  • 2nd 5:47Penalty
  • 2nd 9:00Penalty
  • 2nd 15:45Adam Klapka (1–2)low · snap · 23 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 2nd 18:32Penalty
  • 2nd 18:40Rory Kerins (1–3)5v4 · low · snap · 45 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 3rd 1:54Penalty
  • 3rd 5:46Brad Lambert (2–3)low · wrist · 34 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 3rd 6:31Rory Kerins (2–4)high · tip · 10 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 3rd 8:59Mitch McLain (2–5)medium · tip · 27 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 3rd 13:25Cole Schwindt (2–6)low · snap · 29 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 3rd 16:02Penalty