AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 8

Henderson Silver Knights at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Henderson Silver Knights
1:6
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

HSKSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
2.44.1
High danger
49
Chances
914
Shots
2729

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal29
9Scoring chances14
4High-danger chances9
2.45Expected goals4.13

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–113–41–20.7–1.3
2nd12–92–51–30.9–1.6
3rd7–94–52–40.8–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK31:41 of the 3rd18:1918:19+0.023 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jordan Papirny
Shots faced
29
Saves
23
Allowed
6
xGA
4.13
GSAx
-1.87
Eetu Makiniemi
Shots faced
27
Saves
26
Allowed
1
xGA
2.45
GSAx
+1.45

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:36Radim Simek (0–1)medium · 23 ft · beat Jordan Papirny
  • 1st 14:00Daniel D’Amato (1–1)low · 24 ft · beat Eetu Makiniemi
  • 1st 17:02Penalty
  • 1st 18:26Leon Gawanke (1–2)5v4 · low · 42 ft · beat Jordan Papirny
  • 2nd 0:56Ethan Cardwell (1–3)grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Jordan Papirny
  • 2nd 2:13Penalty
  • 2nd 9:51Penalty
  • 2nd 16:05Penalty
  • 3rd 1:41Nathan Todd (1–4)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Jordan Papirny
  • 3rd 5:16Danil Gushchin (1–5)low · 32 ft · beat Jordan Papirny
  • 3rd 9:12Brett Kemp (1–6)medium · 22 ft · beat Jordan Papirny
  • 3rd 9:28Penalty
  • 3rd 15:31Penalty
  • 3rd 16:10Penalty